Academic foundation, walk-forward validation, and live operational metrics. Every paper documents a strategy that runs against a real-money portfolio in public view.
Persistent insider sellers who suddenly buy into a depressed stock are the strongest single signal we've found. A 25%+ drawdown plus a rare reversal produces +4% abnormal at 30d, 61% win rate, robust to repeat-insider exclusion.
How we compute Insider Grades and Trade Grades — the two-tier system behind every signal.
Insider Grade (A+ to D) measures the person's historical track record. Trade Grade (1-5★) scores each transaction on 13 factors. Bayesian analysis across 196K+ insider trades.
Thesis papers, portfolio updates, and notes.